Greece's national election appeared to shift on Friday in favour of Alexis Tsipras' leftist Syriza party, if a flurry of late polls are to be believed, as the former prime minister closed his campaign with a plea for a high turnout.
However, Mr Tsipras's conservative rival, New Democracy leader Vangelis Meimarakis, remains within spitting distance in the lead up to Sunday's ballot.
After a three-week run-in the two men's ratings have rarely been more than a half a point apart.
None of the surveys released on Friday suggested either Mr Tsipras or Mr Meimarakis would win an outright majority, setting the scene for coalition talks once the result becomes clear early on Monday.
The result is seen as crucial beyond Greece, which found itself almost ejected from the euro zone earlier this year.
The winner of the vote will need to oversee deep economic reforms required for an 86 billion euro ($135 billion) bailout brokered in August, a recapitalisation of the country's banks, and the unwinding of capital controls imposed this year to prevent an implosion of the financial system.
Mr Tsipras led in six polls released on Friday evening — the last day in which polling and campaigning are allowed — trending further ahead of conservatives and with one giving him a 2.5 point lead.
Mr Meimarakis won a single poll on Friday, the first of the day.
"Not one vote should be lost, we should not be beaten by abstention," Mr Tsipras said at a rally in Athens' central Syntagma Square.
"An abstention is a victory for New Democracy."
Mr Tsipras was boosted on the podium by some leading lights from the European left, including Pablo Iglesias, head of Spain's Podemos party.
At his final rally on Thursday, Mr Meimarakis focused on what he called Syriza's "false promises" to Greeks about ending the austerity tied to the country's international bailout, and its eventual acceptance on what some see as worse terms.
"It's high time we did away with incompetence. The Syriza experiment ends on Sunday," he said.
Coalition likely but Syriza rules out pact with New Democracy
Neither party is expected to secure the roughly 38 per cent share of the vote needed for a majority in the 300-seat parliament, meaning a coalition is a near certainty.
Friday's polls broadly showed that, with the bonus of 50 seats given to the party with the most votes, Syriza could easily forge a coalition with the centrist To Potami party and the socialist PASOK.
Most parties in the election — including Syriza and New Democracy — are committed to the bailout, albeit with different emphasis on such things as labour reform. Polls give all the relatively pro-bailout parties combined support of around 65 to 70 per cent of the vote.
But there may be some concerns if Greece cannot form a stable government quickly.
Given that Greece's compliance with the bailout programme is at issue, many at European Union headquarters in Brussels and in other European capitals would like to see a broad coalition emerge from the election.
But Syriza, forced to concede the bailout in August with the threat of a disorderly exit from the euro zone looming, has ruled out any pact with New Democracy, which it regards as part of an old guard partly responsible for Greece's economic woes.
The two parties also disagree on pivotal matters such as freeing up the labour market, collective bargaining and immigration.
New Democracy is willing to join a grand coalition if it wins the most vote. The party has accused Mr Tsipras of not wanting to cooperate because he does not want to comply with the bailout reforms.
0 comments:
Post a Comment